{"id":106392,"date":"2024-08-31T12:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-08-31T15:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/producao-de-cana-pode-cair-20-com-mudancas-climaticas-diz-estudo\/"},"modified":"2024-08-31T12:30:00","modified_gmt":"2024-08-31T15:30:00","slug":"producao-de-cana-pode-cair-20-com-mudancas-climaticas-diz-estudo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/?p=106392","title":{"rendered":"Produ\u00e7\u00e3o de cana pode cair 20% com mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas, diz estudo"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Um estudo do Laborat\u00f3rio Nacional de Biorrenov\u00e1veis do Centro Nacional de Pesquisa em Energia e Materiais (CNPEM) projeta que as mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas poder\u00e3o provocar queda na produ\u00e7\u00e3o brasileira de cana-de-a\u00e7\u00facar de at\u00e9 20% nos pr\u00f3ximos dez anos.\u00a0<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/ebc.png?id=1609984&#038;o=node\" style=\"width:1px;height:1px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/ebc.gif?id=1609984&#038;o=node\" style=\"width:1px;height:1px\"><\/p>\n<p>A diminui\u00e7\u00e3o, de acordo com a pesquisa, causaria um efeito dr\u00e1stico similar no mercado de etanol combust\u00edvel e no setor de biocombust\u00edveis do Brasil. O pa\u00eds \u00e9 l\u00edder mundial na produ\u00e7\u00e3o e consumo de biocombust\u00edveis.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Segundo o levantamento, a redu\u00e7\u00e3o na quantidade e frequ\u00eancia de chuvas \u00e9 apontada como o principal fator prejudicial ao desenvolvimento da cana-de-a\u00e7\u00facar, superando at\u00e9 mesmo a eleva\u00e7\u00e3o das temperaturas.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA proje\u00e7\u00e3o foi poss\u00edvel gra\u00e7as a t\u00e9cnicas de modelagem agroclim\u00e1tica. Os pesquisadores analisaram dados clim\u00e1ticos hist\u00f3ricos e fizeram simula\u00e7\u00f5es considerando vari\u00e1veis para estimar o que pode acontecer, nos pr\u00f3ximos anos, com a cultura de cana na regi\u00e3o Centro-Sul do Brasil\u201d, destacou o CNPEM, em nota.<\/p>\n<h2>Dados clim\u00e1ticos<\/h2>\n<p>A regi\u00e3o estudada abrange os estados de S\u00e3o Paulo, Goi\u00e1s, Minas Gerais, Paran\u00e1, Mato Grosso e Mato Grosso do Sul, que produzem atualmente 90% da cana-de-a\u00e7\u00facar do pa\u00eds. A pesquisa utilizou dados clim\u00e1ticos do Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) e adotou o modelo <em>Crop Assessment Tool<\/em>, desenvolvido pelo CNPEM, para descobrir como as mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas podem afetar a produtividade da cana-de-a\u00e7\u00facar.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA queda na produ\u00e7\u00e3o j\u00e1 come\u00e7ou a ser sentida e pode se agravar, caso n\u00e3o sejam adotadas a\u00e7\u00f5es para mitigar os impactos ambientais. A Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento (Conab) estima redu\u00e7\u00e3o de 3,8% na safra de 2024\/2025, em consequ\u00eancia dos baixos \u00edndices pluviom\u00e9tricos e das altas temperaturas na regi\u00e3o Centro-Sul\u201d, ressalta a pesquisa.<\/p>\n<p>O principal participante do estudo, o engenheiro agr\u00edcola Gabriel Petrielli, alerta que a diminui\u00e7\u00e3o da produ\u00e7\u00e3o da cana poder\u00e1 causar uma forte queda nas receitas no setor.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cO recuo na produtividade da cana-de-a\u00e7\u00facar pode levar a uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o da receita de CBIOs da ordem de US$ 1,9 milh\u00e3o para cada bilh\u00e3o de litros de etanol produzido, resultando em uma perda de receita no setor da ordem de US$ 60 milh\u00f5es anualmente\u201d, destaca.<\/p>\n<p id=\"infocoweb_fonte\" class=\"infocoweb_fonte\">Fonte: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/economia\/noticia\/2024-08\/producao-de-cana-pode-cair-20-com-mudancas-climaticas-diz-estudo#efeaa3ef-1389-4836-a365-96a3121cc446\" rel=\"noopener\">EBC Economia<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Um estudo do Laborat\u00f3rio Nacional de Biorrenov\u00e1veis do Centro Nacional de Pesquisa em Energia e Materiais (CNPEM) projeta que as mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas poder\u00e3o provocar queda na produ\u00e7\u00e3o brasileira de cana-de-a\u00e7\u00facar de at\u00e9 20% nos pr\u00f3ximos dez anos.\u00a0 A diminui\u00e7\u00e3o, de acordo com a pesquisa, causaria um efeito dr\u00e1stico similar no mercado de etanol combust\u00edvel e [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":106393,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_angie_page":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"page_builder":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[167],"tags":[2472,1596,612,2083],"class_list":["post-106392","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-geral","tag-climaticas","tag-estudo","tag-mudan","tag-produ"],"acf":[],"nelio_content":{"autoShareEndMode":"never","automationSources":{"useCustomSentences":false,"customSentences":[]},"efiAlt":"","efiUrl":"","followers":[5],"highlights":[],"isAutoShareEnabled":true,"networkImageIds":[],"permalinkQueryArgs":[],"series":[],"suggestedReferences":[]},"yoast_head":"<!-- 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