{"id":40802,"date":"2023-06-29T14:16:29","date_gmt":"2023-06-29T17:16:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/contas-externas-devem-ter-deficit-de-us-2-bilhoes\/"},"modified":"2023-06-29T14:16:29","modified_gmt":"2023-06-29T17:16:29","slug":"contas-externas-devem-ter-deficit-de-us-2-bilhoes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/?p=40802","title":{"rendered":"Contas externas devem ter d\u00e9ficit de US$ 2 bilh\u00f5es"},"content":{"rendered":"

A proje\u00e7\u00e3o do Banco Central (BC) para o saldo das contas externas piorou em 2023. A previs\u00e3o de d\u00e9ficit para as transa\u00e7\u00f5es correntes, que s\u00e3o as compras e vendas de mercadorias e servi\u00e7os e transfer\u00eancias de renda do Brasil com outros pa\u00edses, passou de US$ 32 bilh\u00f5es para US$ 45 bilh\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

As informa\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o do Relat\u00f3rio de Infla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/a>, publica\u00e7\u00e3o trimestral do BC, divulgado nesta quinta-feira (29).<\/p>\n

O aumento do d\u00e9ficit projetado vem, principalmente, da redu\u00e7\u00e3o do saldo comercial, de R$ 62 bilh\u00f5es para R$ 54 bilh\u00f5es, com queda\u00a0do valor das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es, de US$ 338 bilh\u00f5es para US$ 335 bilh\u00f5es, e aumento do valor das importa\u00e7\u00f5es de US$ 277 bilh\u00f5es para US$ 281 bilh\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

\u201cA proje\u00e7\u00e3o de valor exportado no ano reflete queda mais acentuada dos pre\u00e7os impl\u00edcitos do que previamente esperado, acompanhando a trajet\u00f3ria dos pre\u00e7os de commodities nos mercados internacionais. Essa redu\u00e7\u00e3o em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a 2022, j\u00e1 prevista no relat\u00f3rio anterior, deve ocorrer em maior intensidade, principalmente no caso de produtos b\u00e1sicos, como soja e petr\u00f3leo\u201d, explicou o BC.<\/p>\n

Por outro lado, haver\u00e1 aumento no volume de exporta\u00e7\u00f5es decorrente da safra recorde de gr\u00e3os esperada para o ano, o que deve compensar apenas parcialmente a revis\u00e3o negativa dos pre\u00e7os. A proje\u00e7\u00e3o incorpora ainda volume exportado maior do que esperado de produtos manufaturados e semimanufaturados.<\/p>\n

Para as importa\u00e7\u00f5es, s\u00e3o esperadas quedas menos acentuadas dos pre\u00e7os e do volume. Segundo o BC, a revis\u00e3o reflete os dados mais recentes, que mostram ligeira recupera\u00e7\u00e3o das importa\u00e7\u00f5es nas principais categorias.<\/p>\n

O d\u00e9ficit esperado da conta de servi\u00e7os foi mantido em US$ 36 bilh\u00f5es, abaixo do registrado em 2022 (US$ 40 bilh\u00f5es). \u201cA perspectiva de redu\u00e7\u00e3o em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior reflete menores gastos com transporte, resultante da normaliza\u00e7\u00e3o paulatina nos custos dos modais a\u00e9reo e hidrovi\u00e1rios, al\u00e9m do menor volume de bens importados. Em sentido contr\u00e1rio, os gastos com viagens devem superar os observados no ano passado, j\u00e1 em patamar mais compat\u00edvel com o observado antes da pandemia\u201d, diz o relat\u00f3rio.<\/p>\n

Para a conta de renda prim\u00e1ria, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de d\u00e9ficit foi revisada para cima ligeiramente, com maiores despesas l\u00edquidas com lucros e dividendos. \u201cEssas despesas continuam em patamar elevado, ainda que abaixo do observado em 2022, refletindo resultados favor\u00e1veis das empresas que possuem participa\u00e7\u00e3o de n\u00e3o residentes em seu capital no primeiro trimestre de 2023, quando a atividade econ\u00f4mica surpreendeu, especialmente nos setores menos c\u00edclicos\u201d, explicou o BC.<\/p>\n

Assim, a previs\u00e3o no d\u00e9ficit em renda prim\u00e1ria passou de US$ 61 bilh\u00f5es para US$ 63 bilh\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

Investimento estrangeiro<\/h2>\n

Na conta financeira foram mantidas as proje\u00e7\u00f5es de entrada l\u00edquida em investimentos diretos no pa\u00eds (IDP), em montante superior ao d\u00e9ficit esperado para as transa\u00e7\u00f5es correntes e se aproximando da m\u00e9dia observada na d\u00e9cada anterior \u00e0 pandemia. A estimativa de IDP em 2023 ficou em US$ 75 bilh\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

Quando o pa\u00eds registra saldo negativo em transa\u00e7\u00f5es correntes, precisa cobrir o d\u00e9ficit com investimentos ou empr\u00e9stimos no exterior. A melhor forma de financiamento do saldo negativo \u00e9 o IDP, porque os recursos s\u00e3o aplicados no setor produtivo e costumam ser investimentos de longo prazo.<\/p>\n

Para os investimentos em carteira, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o foi revisada de sa\u00edda l\u00edquida de R$ 5 bilh\u00f5es para neutralidade.<\/p>\n

Fonte: EBC Economia<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A proje\u00e7\u00e3o do Banco Central (BC) para o saldo das contas externas piorou em 2023. A previs\u00e3o de d\u00e9ficit para as transa\u00e7\u00f5es correntes, que s\u00e3o as compras e vendas de mercadorias e servi\u00e7os e transfer\u00eancias de renda do Brasil com outros pa\u00edses, passou de US$ 32 bilh\u00f5es para US$ 45 bilh\u00f5es. As informa\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o do […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":40803,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_angie_page":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"page_builder":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[167],"tags":[2156,5683,877,2157],"class_list":["post-40802","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-geral","tag-contas","tag-deficit","tag-devem","tag-externas"],"acf":[],"nelio_content":{"autoShareEndMode":"never","automationSources":{"useCustomSentences":false,"customSentences":[]},"efiAlt":"","efiUrl":"","followers":[5],"highlights":[],"isAutoShareEnabled":true,"networkImageIds":[],"permalinkQueryArgs":[],"series":[],"suggestedReferences":[]},"yoast_head":"\nContas 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