{"id":40804,"date":"2023-06-29T14:16:32","date_gmt":"2023-06-29T17:16:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/credito-deve-crescer-77-neste-ano-preve-banco-central\/"},"modified":"2023-06-29T14:16:32","modified_gmt":"2023-06-29T17:16:32","slug":"credito-deve-crescer-77-neste-ano-preve-banco-central","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/?p=40804","title":{"rendered":"Cr\u00e9dito deve crescer 7,7% neste ano, prev\u00ea Banco Central"},"content":{"rendered":"

O Banco Central (BC) prev\u00ea que o volume de cr\u00e9dito banc\u00e1rio crescer\u00e1 7,7% em 2023. A proje\u00e7\u00e3o teve uma ligeira alta diante da previs\u00e3o anterior de 7,6%, divulgada em mar\u00e7o deste ano, e continua indicando um processo de desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o do cr\u00e9dito, \u201ccompat\u00edvel com o ciclo de aperto monet\u00e1rio\u201d de alta na taxa Selic, os juros b\u00e1sicos da economia.<\/p>\n

O Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom) do BC mant\u00e9m a taxa Selic<\/a> em 13,75% ao ano desde agosto do ano passado, o maior n\u00edvel desde janeiro de 2017, apesar da queda da infla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/a>\u00a0e das press\u00f5es de parte do governo para redu\u00e7\u00e3o dos juros b\u00e1sicos.<\/p>\n

A Selic \u00e9 o principal instrumento do BC para alcan\u00e7ar a meta de infla\u00e7\u00e3o porque a taxa causa reflexos nos pre\u00e7os, j\u00e1 que juros mais altos encarecem o cr\u00e9dito e estimulam a poupan\u00e7a, evitando a demanda aquecida. Os efeitos do aperto monet\u00e1rio s\u00e3o sentidos no encarecimento do cr\u00e9dito<\/a>\u00a0e na desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o da economia.<\/p>\n

A nova estimativa incorpora os novos dados do mercado de cr\u00e9dito e a revis\u00e3o do cen\u00e1rio macroecon\u00f4mico futuro. As informa\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o do Relat\u00f3rio de Infla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/a>, publica\u00e7\u00e3o trimestral do BC, divulgado nesta quinta-feira (29).<\/p>\n

\u201cOs dados do mercado de cr\u00e9dito divulgados desde o relat\u00f3rio anterior mostram evolu\u00e7\u00e3o do saldo dos empr\u00e9stimos \u00e0s fam\u00edlias acima do esperado, principalmente no segmento direcionado, enquanto os financiamentos \u00e0s empresas recuaram de forma mais intensa, destacando-se o segmento livre\u201d, informou o \u00f3rg\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Previs\u00e3o por segmento<\/h2>\n

Para 2023, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de crescimento do estoque do cr\u00e9dito livre para pessoas f\u00edsicas aumentou de 8% para 9%, \u201crefletindo a maior resili\u00eancia observada nas concess\u00f5es at\u00e9 abril de 2023\u201d. Por sua vez, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de crescimento do cr\u00e9dito livre \u00e0s empresas foi reduzida de 6% para 3%, \u201cdevido \u00e0 desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o mais intensa do que a esperada no primeiro quadrimestre do ano\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u201cEsse movimento decorre, em parte, da oferta de cr\u00e9dito relativamente restritiva no in\u00edcio do ano, uma consequ\u00eancia tanto das condi\u00e7\u00f5es gerais da economia, incluindo o est\u00e1gio atual do ciclo monet\u00e1rio, como de repercuss\u00f5es do caso Americanas\u201d, explicou o BC.<\/p>\n

Em recupera\u00e7\u00e3o judicial desde janeiro, as Lojas Americanas enfrentam uma crise desde a revela\u00e7\u00e3o de \u201cinconsist\u00eancias cont\u00e1beis\u201d de R$ 20 bilh\u00f5es. Posteriormente, o pr\u00f3prio grupo admitiu que os d\u00e9bitos com as institui\u00e7\u00f5es de cr\u00e9dito podem chegar a R$ 43 bilh\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

O cr\u00e9dito livre \u00e9 aquele em que os bancos t\u00eam autonomia para emprestar o dinheiro captado no mercado e definir as taxas de juros cobradas dos clientes. J\u00e1 o cr\u00e9dito direcionado tem regras definidas pelo governo e \u00e9 destinado, basicamente, aos setores habitacional, rural, de infraestrutura e ao microcr\u00e9dito.<\/p>\n

A desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o do cr\u00e9dito livre foi parcialmente contrabalan\u00e7ada por um crescimento do cr\u00e9dito direcionado. Nesse segmento, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de crescimento do saldo de pessoas f\u00edsicas aumentou de 9% para 11%, diante da maior disponibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o de cr\u00e9dito rural no come\u00e7o do ano.<\/p>\n

A revis\u00e3o, por outro lado, tamb\u00e9m reflete a desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o ainda discreta do saldo do cr\u00e9dito imobili\u00e1rio, a despeito da retra\u00e7\u00e3o nas concess\u00f5es observada desde meados de 2021. \u201cVale lembrar que, como os prazos da modalidade s\u00e3o altos e as amortiza\u00e7\u00f5es relativamente pequenas em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao saldo, movimentos das concess\u00f5es t\u00eam impacto mais defasado na carteira de cr\u00e9dito\u201d, explicou o BC.<\/p>\n

Por fim, no segmento de pessoas jur\u00eddicas, no cr\u00e9dito direcionado, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o foi mantida em 7%.<\/p>\n

Fonte: EBC Economia<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O Banco Central (BC) prev\u00ea que o volume de cr\u00e9dito banc\u00e1rio crescer\u00e1 7,7% em 2023. A proje\u00e7\u00e3o teve uma ligeira alta diante da previs\u00e3o anterior de 7,6%, divulgada em mar\u00e7o deste ano, e continua indicando um processo de desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o do cr\u00e9dito, \u201ccompat\u00edvel com o ciclo de aperto monet\u00e1rio\u201d de alta na taxa Selic, os juros […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":40805,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_angie_page":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"page_builder":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[167],"tags":[547,548,1665,4164,902,2557],"class_list":["post-40804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-geral","tag-banco","tag-central","tag-credito","tag-crescer","tag-neste","tag-preve"],"acf":[],"nelio_content":{"autoShareEndMode":"never","automationSources":{"useCustomSentences":false,"customSentences":[]},"efiAlt":"","efiUrl":"","followers":[5],"highlights":[],"isAutoShareEnabled":true,"networkImageIds":[],"permalinkQueryArgs":[],"series":[],"suggestedReferences":[]},"yoast_head":"\nCr\u00e9dito 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