{"id":45075,"date":"2023-07-31T13:22:03","date_gmt":"2023-07-31T16:22:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/fgv-brasil-tem-menor-nivel-de-incerteza-economica-desde-2017\/"},"modified":"2023-07-31T13:22:03","modified_gmt":"2023-07-31T16:22:03","slug":"fgv-brasil-tem-menor-nivel-de-incerteza-economica-desde-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/?p=45075","title":{"rendered":"FGV: Brasil tem menor n\u00edvel de incerteza econ\u00f4mica desde 2017"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>O n\u00edvel de incerteza da economia do pa\u00eds \u00e9 o menor desde novembro de 2017. \u00c9 o que aponta o Indicador de Incerteza da Economia (IIE-Br), divulgado nesta segunda-feira (31), no Rio de Janeiro, pelo Instituto Brasileiro de Economia da Funda\u00e7\u00e3o Getulio Vargas (FGV Ibre).<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/ebc.png?id=1546382&#038;o=node\" style=\"width:1px;height:1px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/ebc.gif?id=1546382&#038;o=node\" style=\"width:1px;height:1px\"><\/p>\n<p>O IIE-Br caiu 4,12 pontos em julho, atingindo 103,5 pontos. Em novembro de 2017, o \u00edndice estava em 103,21. Nos \u00faltimos quatro meses, o indicador acumula recuo de 13,2 pontos.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Esse indicador \u00e9 uma m\u00e9dia ponderada de dois componentes: o IIE-Br M\u00eddia, baseado na frequ\u00eancia de not\u00edcias com men\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 incerteza nos principais jornais do pa\u00eds; e o IIE-Br Expectativa, obtido a partir de previs\u00f5es do mercado financeiro para a taxa de c\u00e2mbio, juros e infla\u00e7\u00e3o.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Expectativas<\/h2>\n<p>\u201cEnquanto nos tr\u00eas meses anteriores a queda do IIE-Br havia sido determinada exclusivamente pelo componente de m\u00eddia, em julho o resultado \u00e9 influenciado tamb\u00e9m pelo componente de expectativas. Com a desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o da infla\u00e7\u00e3o ficando mais clara, observa-se redu\u00e7\u00e3o da heterogeneidade nas previs\u00f5es de 12 meses tanto para o IPCA [considerado a infla\u00e7\u00e3o oficial do pa\u00eds] quanto para a [taxa] Selic\u201d, explica Anna Carolina Gouveia, economista do FGV IBRE. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Em julho, o componente de M\u00eddia caiu 2,6 pontos, menor n\u00edvel desde fevereiro de 2015. J\u00e1 o componente de Expectativas recuou 8,2 pontos.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Para a pesquisadora, a queda do IIE-Br nos \u00faltimos meses tem rela\u00e7\u00e3o com a melhoria das perspectivas para o cen\u00e1rio macroecon\u00f4mico do pa\u00eds, com redu\u00e7\u00e3o tamb\u00e9m das incertezas fiscais e pol\u00edticas.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA continuidade desse quadro depender\u00e1 tanto da recupera\u00e7\u00e3o da atividade econ\u00f4mica quanto da manuten\u00e7\u00e3o de uma rela\u00e7\u00e3o colaborativa e sin\u00e9rgica entre as esferas do governo\u201d, conclui.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Boletim Focus\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>O term\u00f4metro usado pelo IIE-Br para medir a expectativa do mercado \u00e9 o <a href=\"http:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/economia\/noticia\/2023-07\/mercado-reduz-previsao-da-inflacao-de-49-para-484-este-ano\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Boletim Focus<\/a>, divulgado semanalmente pelo Banco Central. A edi\u00e7\u00e3o desta segunda-feira traz expectativa de queda da infla\u00e7\u00e3o e da taxa Selic, a taxa b\u00e1sica de juros da economia.<\/p>\n<p id=\"infocoweb_fonte\" class=\"infocoweb_fonte\">Fonte: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/economia\/noticia\/2023-07\/fgv-brasil-tem-menor-nivel-de-incerteza-economica-desde-2017#e5094d61-da5b-4274-b87e-9ebb96a9b9dc\" rel=\"noopener\">EBC Economia<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O n\u00edvel de incerteza da economia do pa\u00eds \u00e9 o menor desde novembro de 2017. \u00c9 o que aponta o Indicador de Incerteza da Economia (IIE-Br), divulgado nesta segunda-feira (31), no Rio de Janeiro, pelo Instituto Brasileiro de Economia da Funda\u00e7\u00e3o Getulio Vargas (FGV Ibre). O IIE-Br caiu 4,12 pontos em julho, atingindo 103,5 pontos. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_angie_page":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"page_builder":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[167],"tags":[179,850,3418,2037,2572,2760],"class_list":["post-45075","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geral","tag-brasil","tag-desde","tag-economica","tag-incerteza","tag-menor","tag-nivel"],"acf":[],"nelio_content":{"autoShareEndMode":"never","automationSources":{"useCustomSentences":false,"customSentences":[]},"efiAlt":"","efiUrl":"","followers":[5],"highlights":[],"isAutoShareEnabled":true,"networkImageIds":[],"permalinkQueryArgs":[],"series":[],"suggestedReferences":[]},"yoast_head":"<!-- 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