{"id":70578,"date":"2024-01-22T10:44:59","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T13:44:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/mercado-reduz-novamente-previsao-de-inflacao-para-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-01-22T10:44:59","modified_gmt":"2024-01-22T13:44:59","slug":"mercado-reduz-novamente-previsao-de-inflacao-para-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/?p=70578","title":{"rendered":"Mercado reduz novamente previs\u00e3o de infla\u00e7\u00e3o para 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>O mercado financeiro reduziu novamente a previs\u00e3o da infla\u00e7\u00e3o para este ano. Segundo proje\u00e7\u00e3o do Boletim Focus, divulgada hoje (22) pelo Banco Central (BC), o \u00cdndice de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA) &#8211; considerado a infla\u00e7\u00e3o oficial do pa\u00eds &#8211; deve fechar este ano em 3,86%. H\u00e1 uma semana, a <a href=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/economia\/noticia\/2024-01\/inflacao-deve-fechar-este-ano-em-387\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">proje\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado era de que a infla\u00e7\u00e3o este ano ficasse em 3,87%<\/a>. H\u00e1 quatro semanas, a previs\u00e3o era de 3,91%.\u00a0<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/ebc.png?id=1577238&#038;o=node\" style=\"width:1px;height:1px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/ebc.gif?id=1577238&#038;o=node\" style=\"width:1px;height:1px\"><\/p>\n<p>Divulgado semanalmente, o Boletim Focus re\u00fane a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de mais de 100 institui\u00e7\u00f5es do mercado para os principais indicadores econ\u00f4micos do pa\u00eds. Para 2025, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o da infla\u00e7\u00e3o ficou em 3,5%. Para 2026 e 2027, a previs\u00e3o \u00e9 que a infla\u00e7\u00e3o se mantenha nos 3,5% nos dois anos.<\/p>\n<p>A estimativa para 2024 est\u00e1 dentro do intervalo de meta de infla\u00e7\u00e3o que deve ser perseguida pelo BC. Definida pelo Conselho Monet\u00e1rio Nacional (CMN), a meta \u00e9 3% para 2023, com intervalo de toler\u00e2ncia de 1,5 ponto percentual (p.p) para cima ou para baixo. Ou seja, o limite inferior \u00e9 1,5% e o superior 4,5%.<\/p>\n<p>Para alcan\u00e7ar a meta de infla\u00e7\u00e3o, o BC usa como principal instrumento a taxa b\u00e1sica de juros, a Selic, a <a href=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/economia\/noticia\/2023-12\/copom-reduz-juros-basicos-da-economia-para-1175-ao-ano\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">taxa b\u00e1sica de juros, definida em 11,75% <\/a>ao ano pelo Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom).<\/p>\n<p>O comit\u00ea informou que deve seguir com <a href=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/economia\/noticia\/2023-12\/bc-equilibrio-de-contas-publicas-e-importante-para-queda-da-inflacao\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cortes de 0,5 p.p<\/a> nas pr\u00f3ximas reuni\u00f5es.<\/p>\n<p>Quando o Copom aumenta a taxa b\u00e1sica de juros, a finalidade \u00e9 conter a demanda aquecida, e isso causa reflexos nos pre\u00e7os porque os juros mais altos encarecem o cr\u00e9dito e estimulam a poupan\u00e7a.<\/p>\n<p>Quando o Copom diminui a Selic, a tend\u00eancia \u00e9 que o cr\u00e9dito fique mais barato, com incentivo \u00e0 produ\u00e7\u00e3o e ao consumo, reduzindo o controle sobre a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e estimulando a atividade econ\u00f4mica.<\/p>\n<p>Para o mercado financeiro, a Selic deve encerrar 2024 em 9% ao ano. Para o fim de 2025, a estimativa \u00e9 de que a taxa b\u00e1sica caia para 8,5% ao ano. A mesma previs\u00e3o para 2026 e 2027.<\/p>\n<h2>PIB<\/h2>\n<p>Em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao crescimento do Produto Interno Bruto &#8211;\u00a0soma de todos os bens e servi\u00e7os finais produzidos no pa\u00eds &#8211; (PIB), o Focus aumentou a previs\u00e3o de crescimento, em 2024, para 1,6%, ante os 1,59% da semana passada. Para 2025, o boletim tamb\u00e9m manteve a previs\u00e3o de crescimento da semana passada de 2%, que tamb\u00e9m \u00e9 a mesma para os anos de 2025 e 2026.<\/p>\n<h2>C\u00e2mbio<\/h2>\n<p>O boletim divulgado nesta segunda-feira tamb\u00e9m prev\u00ea diminui\u00e7\u00e3o no valor do c\u00e2mbio em d\u00f3lar. Segundo o Focus, em 2024, a moeda fecha o ano em R$ 4,92. Na semana passada, a previs\u00e3o era de R$ 4,95. H\u00e1 quatro semanas a previs\u00e3o era de que a moeda norte-americana ficasse em R$ 5,00. Para 2025, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 que o d\u00f3lar tamb\u00e9m fique em R$ 5,00. Para 2026, a expectativa \u00e9 que o c\u00e2mbio feche em R$ 5,05 e para 2027, em R$ 5,10.<\/p>\n<p id=\"infocoweb_fonte\" class=\"infocoweb_fonte\">Fonte: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/economia\/noticia\/2024-01\/mercado-reduz-novamente-previsao-de-inflacao-para-2024#1645a9f5-5749-41cd-93aa-6e17be75c6c0\" rel=\"noopener\">EBC Economia<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O mercado financeiro reduziu novamente a previs\u00e3o da infla\u00e7\u00e3o para este ano. Segundo proje\u00e7\u00e3o do Boletim Focus, divulgada hoje (22) pelo Banco Central (BC), o \u00cdndice de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA) &#8211; considerado a infla\u00e7\u00e3o oficial do pa\u00eds &#8211; deve fechar este ano em 3,86%. H\u00e1 uma semana, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado era de [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":70579,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_angie_page":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"page_builder":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[167],"tags":[1026,1697,2248,527,2831],"class_list":["post-70578","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-geral","tag-infla","tag-mercado","tag-novamente","tag-previs","tag-reduz"],"acf":[],"nelio_content":{"autoShareEndMode":"never","automationSources":{"useCustomSentences":false,"customSentences":[]},"efiAlt":"","efiUrl":"","followers":[5],"highlights":[],"isAutoShareEnabled":true,"networkImageIds":[],"permalinkQueryArgs":[],"series":[],"suggestedReferences":[]},"yoast_head":"<!-- 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