{"id":84278,"date":"2024-04-24T17:07:35","date_gmt":"2024-04-24T20:07:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/apenas-3-dos-paises-terao-taxa-de-fertilidade-suficiente-ate-2100\/"},"modified":"2024-04-24T17:07:35","modified_gmt":"2024-04-24T20:07:35","slug":"apenas-3-dos-paises-terao-taxa-de-fertilidade-suficiente-ate-2100","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/?p=84278","title":{"rendered":"Apenas 3% dos pa\u00edses ter\u00e3o taxa de fertilidade suficiente at\u00e9 2100"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Estudo publicado na <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(24)00550-6\/fulltext\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">revista brit\u00e2nica\u00a0The Lancet<\/a>\u00a0mostra que, at\u00e9 o ano de 2100, apenas seis (3%) entre 204 pa\u00edses ter\u00e3o n\u00edveis sustent\u00e1veis de nascimentos para reposi\u00e7\u00e3o sustent\u00e1vel da popula\u00e7\u00e3o. S\u00e3o eles: Samoa, Som\u00e1lia, Tonga, Nig\u00e9ria, Chad e Tajikist\u00e3o. O trabalho analisa os dados entre 1950 e 2021 e faz a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para 2050 e 2100. A pesquisa \u00e9 fruto da parceria do grupo de estudo internacional chamado Global Burden of Diseases (Carga Global das Doen\u00e7as).<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/ebc.png?id=1592008&#038;o=node\" style=\"width:1px;height:1px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/ebc.gif?id=1592008&#038;o=node\" style=\"width:1px;height:1px\"><\/p>\n<p>A taxa de fertilidade considerada aceit\u00e1vel em n\u00edvel de reposi\u00e7\u00e3o populacional \u00e9 de 2,1 filhos por mulher ao longo da vida. Em 2021, apenas 46% dos pa\u00edses tiveram taxa de fecundidade acima da taxa de reposi\u00e7\u00e3o, principalmente na \u00c1frica Subsaariana. Em 1950, globalmente, a taxa de fecundidade era de 4,84, caindo para 2,23 em 2021. As proje\u00e7\u00f5es futuras apontam para 1,83 filhos em 2050 e 1,59 em 2100, o que far\u00e1 com que as popula\u00e7\u00f5es diminuam de tamanho.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cO que a gente vem observando s\u00e3o altera\u00e7\u00f5es culturais, como o aumento da escolaridade das mulheres, maior participa\u00e7\u00e3o das mulheres no mercado de trabalho, pol\u00edticas de educa\u00e7\u00e3o sexual e planejamento familiar, maio acesso a m\u00e9todos contraceptivos. O que a gente vem observando nas \u00faltimas d\u00e9cadas \u00e9 um decl\u00ednio gradual das taxas de fecundidade\u201d, disse o pesquisador do departamento de Sa\u00fade Coletiva da Fiocruz Pernambuco, Rafael Moreira.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Os pa\u00edses europeus e da Am\u00e9rica do Norte s\u00e3o os que est\u00e3o em pior situa\u00e7\u00e3o em termos de taxa de fecundidade com consequ\u00eancias econ\u00f4micas e sociais de longo alcance. \u201cO envelhecimento da popula\u00e7\u00e3o, o decl\u00ednio da for\u00e7a de trabalho, pa\u00edses com muitos idosos e pouca popula\u00e7\u00e3o em idade produtiva e isso vai ter consequ\u00eancia para a previd\u00eancia\u201d, afirmou o pesquisador. Ele destaca que os pa\u00edses de renda alta v\u00e3o ter que rever suas pol\u00edticas de imigra\u00e7\u00e3o pois v\u00e3o precisar de m\u00e3o de obra jovem para seus mercados de trabalho.<\/p>\n<p>No Brasil, a taxa de fertilidade era de 5,93 filhos em 1950 e 1,93 em 2021. As expectativas futuras apontam queda, sugerindo 1,57 em 2050 e 1,31 em 2100, abaixo da proje\u00e7\u00e3o mundial.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs futuras taxas de fertilidade continuar\u00e3o a diminuir em todo o mundo e permanecer\u00e3o baixas mesmo sob a implementa\u00e7\u00e3o bem-sucedida de pol\u00edticas pr\u00f3-nascimento. Estas mudan\u00e7as ter\u00e3o consequ\u00eancias econ\u00f4micas e sociais devido ao envelhecimento da popula\u00e7\u00e3o e ao decl\u00ednio da for\u00e7a de trabalho\u201d, aponta o artigo.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"infocoweb_fonte\" class=\"infocoweb_fonte\">Fonte: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/geral\/noticia\/2024-04\/apenas-3-dos-paises-terao-taxa-de-fertilidade-suficiente-ate-2100#851de404-667c-4e33-8b52-d2cae02ed0c2\" rel=\"noopener\">EBC GERAL<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Estudo publicado na revista brit\u00e2nica\u00a0The Lancet\u00a0mostra que, at\u00e9 o ano de 2100, apenas seis (3%) entre 204 pa\u00edses ter\u00e3o n\u00edveis sustent\u00e1veis de nascimentos para reposi\u00e7\u00e3o sustent\u00e1vel da popula\u00e7\u00e3o. S\u00e3o eles: Samoa, Som\u00e1lia, Tonga, Nig\u00e9ria, Chad e Tajikist\u00e3o. O trabalho analisa os dados entre 1950 e 2021 e faz a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para 2050 e 2100. A [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":84279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_angie_page":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"page_builder":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[167],"tags":[3254,18200,2131,3631],"class_list":["post-84278","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-geral","tag-apenas","tag-fertilidade","tag-paises","tag-suficiente"],"acf":[],"nelio_content":{"autoShareEndMode":"never","automationSources":{"useCustomSentences":false,"customSentences":[]},"efiAlt":"","efiUrl":"","followers":[5],"highlights":[],"isAutoShareEnabled":true,"networkImageIds":[],"permalinkQueryArgs":[],"series":[],"suggestedReferences":[]},"yoast_head":"<!-- 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