{"id":85072,"date":"2024-04-30T22:04:59","date_gmt":"2024-05-01T01:04:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/ipam-e-banco-mundial-lancam-plataforma-sobre-desmatamento-na-amazonia\/"},"modified":"2024-12-02T10:28:41","modified_gmt":"2024-12-02T13:28:41","slug":"ipam-e-banco-mundial-lancam-plataforma-sobre-desmatamento-na-amazonia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fatosefotosnews.com.br\/?p=85072","title":{"rendered":"Ipam e Banco Mundial lan\u00e7am plataforma sobre desmatamento na Amaz\u00f4nia"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Pesquisadores do <a href=\"https:\/\/forestatrisk.ipam.org.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Instituto de Pesquisa Ambiental da Amaz\u00f4nia<\/a> (Ipam) lan\u00e7aram hoje (30) uma plataforma que faz previs\u00f5es sobre o risco de desmatamento na Amaz\u00f4nia Legal e pode servir para nortear pol\u00edticas de prote\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s florestas. O projeto resulta de uma parceria com o Banco Mundial.<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/ebc.png?id=1593050&#038;o=node\" style=\"width:1px;height:1px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/ebc.gif?id=1593050&#038;o=node\" style=\"width:1px;height:1px\"><\/p>\n<p>A equipe de especialistas possibilita que se visualize um conjunto de cen\u00e1rios que pode se consolidar ou n\u00e3o a partir de determinados fatores econ\u00f4micos ou de decis\u00f5es de autoridades governamentais. Para se gerar uma m\u00e9dia do n\u00edvel de desmatamento, o ponto de partida de an\u00e1lise foram dados de 1999 a 2022. Desse modo, conseguiu-se fazer uma previs\u00e3o do que se pode esperar para os anos de 2023, 2024 e 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Conforme detalha <a href=\"https:\/\/ipam.org.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Nota-Tecnica_por_vale_24.04.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">nota t\u00e9cnica<\/a>, ao se considerar o ritmo de desmatamento como foi ao longo dos \u00faltimos anos, sem se adicionar \u00e0 estimativa outros dados relevantes, o que se constata \u00e9 um ac\u00famulo de 35% a mais de desmatamento. A perspectiva j\u00e1 muda quando se leva em conta condi\u00e7\u00f5es macroecon\u00f4micas, como os pre\u00e7os das <em>commodities<\/em>, a exemplo da soja e da carne, e as taxas de c\u00e2mbio, mas sem que se ponha na equa\u00e7\u00e3o a interfer\u00eancia pol\u00edtica no \u00e2mbito da prote\u00e7\u00e3o ambiental.<\/p>\n<p>De forma did\u00e1tica, o economista s\u00eanior do Banco Mundial Cornelius Fleischhaker simplifica o que fizeram os pesquisadores do Ipam. &#8220;O primeiro modelo \u00e9, digamos, ignorante, porque \u00e9 ignorante, s\u00f3 conhece o passado, s\u00f3 leva em conta a m\u00e9dia de desmatamento do passado. No segundo, a econometria inclui o desmatamento dos anos anteriores e adiciona a previs\u00e3o de indicadores econ\u00f4micos dos pr\u00f3ximos anos. Coloca em cima uma camada informada pela economia, que d\u00e1 complexidade e tamb\u00e9m fornece mais informa\u00e7\u00e3o, de certa forma, no sentido de indicar se a press\u00e3o econ\u00f4mica est\u00e1 crescendo&#8221;, diz.<\/p>\n<p>A pesquisadora Rafaella Silvestrini, uma das coautoras do estudo, destaca um recrudescimento em certas regi\u00f5es, em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao desmatamento. Uma delas \u00e9 o sul do Amazonas e a outra, a Amacro (acr\u00f4nimo que faz refer\u00eancia aos estados do Amazonas, Acre e Rond\u00f4nia). &#8220;Desde 2017, 2018, percebe-se um aumento do desmatamento&#8221;, acrescenta.<\/p>\n<p>Para Fleischhaker, uma das sa\u00eddas para haver crescimento de setores econ\u00f4micos sem que isso signifique a desprote\u00e7\u00e3o florestal \u00e9 o aproveitamento de &#8220;terras em uso ineficiente, improdutivo&#8221;. &#8220;A floresta n\u00e3o tem muito impacto sobre a macroeconomia, mas o inverso, sim. As coisas que acontecem longe da floresta ainda t\u00eam impacto na floresta&#8221;, afirma.<\/p>\n<p id=\"infocoweb_fonte\" class=\"infocoweb_fonte\">Fonte: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/geral\/noticia\/2024-04\/ipam-e-banco-mundial-lancam-plataforma-sobre-desmatamento-na-amazonia#4f1291fe-d88a-4406-a6a9-6f4651f0bc85\" rel=\"noopener\">EBC GERAL<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pesquisadores do Instituto de Pesquisa Ambiental da Amaz\u00f4nia (Ipam) lan\u00e7aram hoje (30) uma plataforma que faz previs\u00f5es sobre o risco de desmatamento na Amaz\u00f4nia Legal e pode servir para nortear pol\u00edticas de prote\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s florestas. O projeto resulta de uma parceria com o Banco Mundial. A equipe de especialistas possibilita que se visualize um conjunto [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":85073,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_angie_page":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"page_builder":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[24361,167],"tags":[172,547,2303,424,3699,587],"class_list":["post-85072","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-amazonia","category-geral","tag-amazonia","tag-banco","tag-desmatamento","tag-mundial","tag-plataforma","tag-sobre"],"acf":[],"nelio_content":{"autoShareEndMode":"never","automationSources":{"useCustomSentences":false,"customSentences":[]},"efiAlt":"","efiUrl":"","followers":[5,1],"highlights":[],"isAutoShareEnabled":true,"networkImageIds":[],"permalinkQueryArgs":[],"series":[],"suggestedReferences":[]},"yoast_head":"<!-- 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